· Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner Limited preview - Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner No preview available - /5(21). In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global bltadwin.ru by: In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events/5(K).
In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown. Booktopia has Superforecasting, The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock. Buy a discounted Paperback of Superforecasting online from Australia's leading online bookstore. ISBN. LC Class. HBT47X Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a book by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner released in It details findings from The Good Judgment Project.
Superforcasting: The Art of Science and Prediction, by Philip E. Tetlock, is a book about the art and science of statistical prediction, and its everyday uses. Except it isn't really, that is just what they are selling it as. The book starts off really strong, analyzing skepticism, illusions of statistical knowledge, and various types of bias. Tetlock, Philip E. (Philip Eyrikson), – Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction / Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner. pages cm 1. Economic forecasting. 2. Forecasting. I. Gardner, Dan, – II. Title. HBT47 —dc23 ISBN eBook ISBN Illustrations by Joe LeMonnier. In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events.
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